What is meant by identification problem in a simultaneous equation system? How to decide whether an equation is identified?
The identification problem in a simultaneous equation system refers to the challenge of determining the causal relationships between the variables in a system of interdependent equations. A simultaneous equation system is a set of equations that describe the relationships between multiple variables, where the values of one or more variables are influenced by the values of the other variables. In this context, the identification problem refers to the difficulty of determining which variables are the independent or exogenous variables and which are the dependent or endogenous variables.
The identification problem arises because the variables in a simultaneous equation system are often correlated, and this correlation makes it difficult to determine the direction of causality. For example, in a system of equations describing the relationships between income, consumption, and savings, it is not clear which variable is causing changes in the other variables. Is an increase in income causing an increase in consumption and a decrease in savings, or is an increase in consumption causing a decrease in savings and an increase in income?
The identification problem can be viewed as a problem of endogeneity, where the variables in the system are both dependent and independent at the same time. This makes it difficult to determine the true causal relationships between the variables, which can lead to biased estimates of the parameters of the model and incorrect inferences about the relationships _______ __________ _____ _____ ___ _______ __________ _______ __________ ______ ___ ___.
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