Question

Rational expectations and adaptive expectations

01 Dec 2020
Answer :
Word Count : 647

Rational expectations is an economic theory that states that individuals make decisions based on the best available information in the market and learn from past trends. Rational expectations suggest that people will be wrong sometimes, but that, on average, they will be correct.

The idea of rational expectations was first developed by American economist John F. Muth in 1961. However, it was popularized by economists Robert Lucas and T. Sargent in the 1970s and was widely used in microeconomics as part of the new classical revolution.

The theory states the following assumptions:

With rational expectations, people always learn from past mistakes.

Forecasts are unbiased, and people use all the available information and economic theories to make decisions.

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